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センター研究員

小塩 隆士 ／Takashi Oshio＜ 研究者一覧へ戻る

一橋大学経済研究所　教授

【略歴】

東京大学教養学部卒業後、経済企画庁（現内閣府）、J.P. Morgan勤務等を経て、2009年より一橋大学経済研究所教授。大阪大学博士（国際公共政策）。専門は公共経済学。医療分野では、公衆衛生、社会疫学、産業医学のテーマに関心がある。子供期の社会経済的環境の健康への影響、職場環境とストレスとの関係、介護者のメンタルヘルスの決定要因、社会関係資本と健康との関係など、医学と経済学・社会学が「相互乗り入れ」できるテーマの論文執筆が最近の主な仕事。著書に、『日本人の健康を社会科学で考える』（日本経済新聞出版、2021年）、『くらしと健康』（岩波書店、2018年）、『「幸せ」の決まり方』（日本経済新聞出版社、2014年）、『再分配の厚生分析』（日本評論社、2010年）等。

【委員会等】

2020年4月-現在　中央社会保険医療協議会会長

 

【最近の研究成果】
    • Ping, R. and T. Oshio, “Education level as a predictor of the onset of health problems among China's middle-aged population: Cox regression analysis,” Frontiers in Public Health, in press, 2023.
    • Oshio, T., K. Sugiyama, and T. Ashida, “Effect of social activities on health checkups and recommended doctor visits: a fixed-effects analysis in Japan,” Industrial Health, in press, 2023.
    • Oshio, T., H. Kimura, S. Nakazawa, and S. Kuwahara, “Evolutions of self-rated health and social interactions during the COVID-19 pandemic affected by pre-pandemic conditions: Evidence from a four-wave survey,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20(5), 4594, 2023
    • Oshio, T. and S. Shimizutani, “Will working longer enhance the health of older adults? A pooled analysis of repeated cross-sectional data in Japan,” Journal of Epidemiology, 33 (1), 15-22, 2023.
    • Oshio, T., H. Kimura, T. Nishizaki, and S. Kuwahara, “Pre-pandemic social isolation as a predictor of the adverse impact of the pandemic on self-rated health: A longitudinal COVID-19 study in Japan,” Preventive Medicine,164, 107329, 2022.
    • Oshio, T., K. Sugiyama, and T. Ashida, “Impact of residing in neighborhoods of high social participation on health of retired workers: A multilevel analysis using nationwide longitudinal data in Japan," SSM-Population Heath, 20, 101281, 2022.
    • Oshio, T., “Is caring for grandchildren good for grandparents’ health? Evidence from a fourteen-wave nationwide survey in Japan,” Journal of Epidemiology, 32(8), 363-369, 2022.
    • Oshio, T., H. Kimura, T. Nishizaki, and S. Kuwahara, “At which area level does COVID-19 infection matter most for an individual’s self-rated health? A multilevel fixed-effects model analysis in Japan,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(15), 8918, 2022.
    • Oshio, T. and K. Sugiyama, "Social participation as a moderator for caregivers’ psychological distress: A dynamic panel data model analysis in Japan,” Applied Research in Quality of Life, 17, 1813–1829, 2022.
    • Oshio, T. and R. Nakamura, “Trends and determinants of cigarette tax increases in Japan: the role of revenue targeting,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19, 49892, 2022.
    • Oshio, T., K. Sugiyama, and T. Ashida, “Does residing in a neighborhood of high social participation postpone deterioration in health among middle-aged adults? A multilevel survival analysis in Japan,” Journal of Urban Health, 99(2), 235-244, 2022.
    • Shimabukuro, S., D. Daley, T. Endo, S. Harada, A.Tomoda, Y. Yamashita, T. Oshio, et al., “The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of Well Parent Japan for Japanese mothers of children with ADHD: Protocol for a randomized controlled trial,” JMIR Research Protocols, 11(4), e32693, 2022.
    • Zhan, P., X. Ma, T. Oshio, and Y. Mao, “The elderly’s health capacity to work in China,” China Economic Journal, 15(1), 77-92, 2022.
    • Oshio, T., A. Inoue, and A. Tsutsumi, “Role ambiguity as an amplifier of the association between job stressors and workers’ psychological ill-being: evidence from an occupational survey in Japan,” Journal of Occupational Health, 63(1), e12310, 2021.
    • Sekine, Y. and T. Oshio, “Equity and efficiency in the safety net: social security law,” in Takashi Yanagawa, Hiroshi Takahashi, and Shinya Ouchi eds., Econo-Legal Studies, Springer, 121-148, 2021.
    • Oshio, T, A. Tsutsumi, and A. Inoue, “Determining whether periodic health checkups have any preventive effect on deterioration in health among middle-aged adults: A hazards model analysis in Japan,” Journal of Occupational Health, 63, e12291, 2021.
    • Oshio, T., "Job dissatisfaction as a predictor of health deterioration among middle-aged workers: a 14-wave hazards-model analysis in Japan," Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health, 47(8), 594-599, 2021.
    • Oshio, T., H. Kimura, T. Nishizaki, and T. Omori, “How does area-level deprivation depress an individual’s self-rated health and life satisfaction? Evidence from a nationwide population-based survey in Japan,” BMC Public Health,21, 523, 2021.
    • Hirakawa, M., E. Usui, N. Mitsuyama, and T. Oshio, “Chances of pregnancy after dropping out from infertility treatments: evidence from a social survey in Japan,” Reproductive Medicine and Biology, 20(2), 246-252, 2021.
    • Okuda, M., Y. Ichida, K. Yamane, R. Ohtsuka, M. Yamaguchi, R. Goto, A. Yamada, A. Sannabe, N. Kondo, and T. Oshio, “Preferences for the forms of co-payment and advance payment in healthcare services; a discrete choice experiment,” Asian Pacific Journal of Health Economics and Policy, 2(2), 2021.
    • Oshio, T., H. Kimura, T. Nishizaki, and T. Omori, “Association between the use of social networking sites, perceived social support, and life satisfaction: evidence from a population-based survey in Japan,” PLOS ONE, 15(12), e0244199, 2020.
    • Ma, X. and T. Oshio, “The impact of social insurance on health among middle-aged and older adults in rural China: a longitudinal study using a three-wave nationwide survey,” BMC Public Health, 20, 1842, 2020.
    • Oshio, T., “Why is future design needed in Japan? Public finance perspective,” in Tatsuyoshi Saijo ed., Future Design, Springer, pp. 187-196, 2020.
    • Oshio, T., “What factors affect the evolution of the wife’s mental health after the husband’s retirement? Evidence from a population-based nationwide survey in Japan,” Journal of Epidemiology, 31(5), 308-314, 2021.
    • Oshio, T., “Association between area-level risk of job instability and workers’ health: a multi-level analysis using population-based survey data from Japan,” Journal of Epidemiology,31(3), 203-209, 2021.
    • Oshio, T., “Lingering impact of starting working life during a recession: health outcomes of survivors of the “employment ice age” (1993-2004) in Japan,” Journal of Epidemiology, 30(9), 412-419, 2020.
    • Ma, X., X. Piao, and T. Oshio, “Impact of social participation on health among middle-aged and elderly adults: evidence from longitudinal survey data in China,” BMC Public Health, 20, 502, 2020.
    • Oshio, T., S. Shimizutani, and A. S. Oishi, “Examining how elderly employment is associated with institutional disincentives in Japan,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 56, 101078, 2020.
    • Oshio, T., “Exploring the health-relevant poverty line: a study using the data of 663,000 individuals in Japan,” International Journal for Equity in Health, 18:205, 2019.
    • Oshio, T., “Is a positive association between female employment and fertility still spurious in developed countries?” Demographic Research, 41, 1277-1288, 2019.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “Does social participation accelerate psychological adaptation to health shocks? Evidence from a national longitudinal survey in Japan,” Quality of Life Research, 28, 2125-2133, 2019.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “Which is riskier for mental health, living alone or not participating in any social activity? Evidence from a population-based eleven-year survey in Japan,” Social Science & Medicine, 233, 64-70, 2019.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “Educational level as a predictor of the incidences of non-communicable diseases among middle-aged Japanese: a hazards-model analysis,” BMC Public Health, 19, 852, 2019.
    • Oshio, T. and S. Shimizutani, “Health capacity to work and its long-term trend among the Japanese elderly,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 51, 76-86, 2019.
    • Saito, M., N. Kondo, T. Oshio, T. Tabuchi, and K. Kondo, “Relative deprivation, poverty, and mortality in Japanese older adults: a six-year follow-up of the JAGES cohort survey,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(2), 182, 2019.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “Preventive impact of social participation on the onset of non-communicable diseases among middle-aged adults: a 10-wave hazards-model analysis in Japan,” Preventive Medicine, 118, 272-278, 2019.
    • Oshio, T., “Association between successful smoking cessation and changes in marital and job status and health behaviours: evidence from a 10-wave nationwide survey in Japan,” BMC Public Health, 18:1051, 2018.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “Impact of parents’ need for care on middle-aged women's lifestyle and psychological distress: evidence from a nationwide longitudinal survey in Japan,” Health and Quality of Life Outcomes, 16:63, 2018.
    • Oshio, T., “Widening disparities in health between educational levels and their determinants in later life: evidence from a nine-year cohort study,” BMC Public Health, 18:278, 2018.
    • Oshio, T., A. Inoue, and A. Tsutsumi, “Associations among job demands and resources, work engagement, and psychological distress: fixed-effects model analysis in Japan,” Journal of Occupational Health, 60, 254-262, 2018.
    • Oshio, T. and E. Usui, “How does informal caregiving affect daughters’ employment and mental health in Japan?” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 49, 1-7, 2018.
    • Oshio, T., A. Inoue, A. Tsutsumi, T. Suzuki, and K. Miyaki, “The reciprocal relationship between sickness presenteeism and psychological distress in response to job stressors: evidence from a three-wave cohort study,” Journal of Occupational Health, 59, 552-561, 2017.
    • Oshio, T., A. Inoue, and A. Tsutsumi, “Examining the mediating effect of work-to-family conflict on the associations between job stressors and employee psychological distress: a prospective cohort study,” BMJ Open, 7, e015608, 2017.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “The dynamic impact of retirement on health: evidence from a nationwide ten-year panel survey in Japan,” Preventive Medicine, 100, 287-293, 2017.
    • Oshio, T., A. Inoue, and A. Tsutsumi, “Does work-to-family conflict really matter for health? Cross-sectional, prospective cohort and fixed-effects analyses,” Social Science & Medicine, 175, 36-42, 2017.
    • Oshio, T. and E. Usui, “Informal parental care and female labor supply in Japan,” Applied Economics Letters, 24(9), 635-638, 2017.
    • Oshio, T., “Which is more relevant for perceived happiness, individual-level or area-level social capital? A multilevel mediation analysis,” Journal of Happiness Studies, 18(3), 765-783, 2017.
    • Shimizutani, S. and Oshio, T., “Public pension benefits claiming behaviour: new evidence from the Japanese study on ageing and retirement,” Japanese Economic Review, 67(3), 235-256, 2016.
    • Usui, E., S. Shimizutani, and Oshio, T., “Are Japanese men of pensionable age underemployed or overemployed,” Japanese Economic Review, 67(2), 150-168, 2016.
    • Nozaki, K. and T. Oshio, “Multidimensional poverty and perceived happiness: evidence from China, Japan and Korea,” Asian Economic Journal, 30(3), 275-293, 2016.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “How do social activities mitigate informal caregivers’ psychological distress? Evidence from a nine-year panel survey in Japan,” Health and Quality of Life Outcomes, 14:117, 2016.
    • Oshio, T., A. Tsutsumi, and A. Inoue, “Can leisure-time physical activity improve health checkup results? Evidence from Japanese occupational panel data,” Journal of Occupational Health, 58(4), 354-364, 2016.
    • Shibuya, K., T. Oshio et al., “Protecting human security: Proposals for the G7 Ise-Shima Summit in Japan,” Lancet, 387(10033), 2155-2162, 2016.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Umeda, “Gender-specific linkages of parents’　childhood physical abuse and neglect with children’s problem behaviour: evidence from Japan,” BMC Public Health, 16:403, 2016.
    • Oshio, T., A. Tsutsumi, and A. Inoue, “The association between job stress and leisure-time physical inactivity adjusted for individual attributes: evidence from a Japanese occupational cohort survey,” Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health, 42(3), 228-236, 2016.
    • Oshio, T., “The association between individual-level social capital and health: cross-sectional, prospective cohort, and fixed-effects models,” Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 70, 25-30, 2016.
    • Umeda, M., T. Oshio, and M. Fujii, “The impact of the experience of childhood poverty on adult health-risk behaviors in Japan: a mediation analysis,” International Journal for Equity in Health, 14(145), 2015.
    • Oshio, T., “How is an informal caregiver’s psychological distress associated with prolonged caregiving? Evidence from a six-wave panel survey in Japan,” Quality of Life Research, 24(12), 2907-2915, 2015.
    • Oshio, T. and S. Inagaki, “The direct and indirect effects of initial job status on midlife psychological distress in Japan: Evidence from a mediation analysis,” Industrial Health, 53(4), 311-321, 2015.
    • Oshio, T., A. Tsutsumi, and A. Inoue, “Do time-invariant confounders explain away the association between job stress and workers’ mental health? Evidence from Japanese occupational panel data,” Social Science & Medicine, 126, 138-144, 2015.
    • Oshio, T. and M. Kan, “Multidimensional poverty and health: Evidence from a nationwide survey in Japan,” International Journal for Equity in Health, 13:128, 2014.
    • Fujii, M., T. Oshio, and S. Shimizutani, “Self-rated health status of the Japanese and Europeans in later life: Evidence from JSTAR and SHARE,” Japanese Economic Review, 65(4), 483-498, 2014.
    • Oshio, T., “The association between involvement in family caregiving and mental health among middle-aged adults in Japan,” Social Science & Medicine, 115, 121-129, 2014.
    • Oshio, T., A. Inoue, and A. Tsutsumi, “The mediating and moderating effects of workplace social capital on the associations between adverse work characteristics and psychological distress among Japanese workers,” Industrial Health, 53(4), 313-323, 2014.
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